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icon for Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

icon for Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

On or prior to September 24 50%

September 25 50%

September 26 50%

September 27 50%

Polymarket
নতুন

On or prior to September 24 50%

September 25 50%

September 26 50%

September 27 50%

Polymarket
নতুন

On or prior to September 24

$0 Vol.

50%

September 25

$0 Vol.

50%

September 26

$0 Vol.

50%

September 27

$0 Vol.

50%

September 28

$0 Vol.

44%

September 29

$0 Vol.

44%

September 30

$0 Vol.

44%

October 1

$0 Vol.

44%

October 2

$0 Vol.

44%

October 3

$0 Vol.

44%

October 4

$0 Vol.

44%

October 5

$0 Vol.

44%

October 6

$0 Vol.

44%

October 7

$0 Vol.

44%

October 8

$0 Vol.

44%

October 9

$0 Vol.

44%

October 10

$0 Vol.

44%

October 11

$0 Vol.

44%

October 12

$0 Vol.

44%

October 13

$0 Vol.

44%

October 14

$0 Vol.

44%

October 15

$0 Vol.

44%

No release by October 15

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.

Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Oct 16, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

রেজলভার

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.

Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Oct 16, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

রেজলভার

0x69c47de9d...

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" হলো Polymarket-এ 23 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "On or prior to September 24" 98%-এ, তারপর "September 25" 98%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Sep 24, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 23 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

এই মার্কেটটি সম্প্রতি তৈরি হয়েছে এবং এখনো প্রথম ট্রেড পায়নি। প্রথম ট্রেড করে ওপেনিং অডস সেট করুন, বা মার্কেট বিকশিত হলে দেখতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করুন।

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।