Recent Swedish opinion polls from August 2026 place the Social Democrats first at roughly 33-34 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20-21 percent, and the Moderate Party third around 17-18 percent. This ordering has remained stable through the summer, driven by consistent voter preferences on immigration, crime, and economic policy within the right-leaning bloc that includes the Tidö coalition partners. With the September 13 election date approaching, no major campaign events or shifts have narrowed the gap between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates enough to threaten the third-place positioning. Prediction market pricing reflects this polling consensus, assigning the highest implied probability to the Moderate Party finishing third while treating other outcomes as low-probability tail risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 Vol.
$22,868 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
17%

Moderate Party (M)
81%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 Vol.
$22,868 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
17%

Moderate Party (M)
81%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls from August 2026 place the Social Democrats first at roughly 33-34 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20-21 percent, and the Moderate Party third around 17-18 percent. This ordering has remained stable through the summer, driven by consistent voter preferences on immigration, crime, and economic policy within the right-leaning bloc that includes the Tidö coalition partners. With the September 13 election date approaching, no major campaign events or shifts have narrowed the gap between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates enough to threaten the third-place positioning. Prediction market pricing reflects this polling consensus, assigning the highest implied probability to the Moderate Party finishing third while treating other outcomes as low-probability tail risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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