Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes, a prominent pastor who won the March 3 primary outright after incumbent Jasmine Crockett vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, commands trader consensus at 91.5% in this safely Democratic Dallas-area district with a history of lopsided victories—such as Crockett's 73% in 2024. The Republican primary's fragmentation, yielding no majority and a May 26 runoff between low-performing candidates like Sholdon Daniels, underscores the party's challenges in this D+25 Cook PVI battleground. While odds reflect strong incumbency-like advantages for Haynes, a massive GOP funding surge, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans could narrow the path, though such shifts remain unlikely absent major catalysts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,525 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$1,888 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes, a prominent pastor who won the March 3 primary outright after incumbent Jasmine Crockett vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, commands trader consensus at 91.5% in this safely Democratic Dallas-area district with a history of lopsided victories—such as Crockett's 73% in 2024. The Republican primary's fragmentation, yielding no majority and a May 26 runoff between low-performing candidates like Sholdon Daniels, underscores the party's challenges in this D+25 Cook PVI battleground. While odds reflect strong incumbency-like advantages for Haynes, a massive GOP funding surge, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans could narrow the path, though such shifts remain unlikely absent major catalysts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,413শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes, a prominent pastor who won the March 3 primary outright after incumbent Jasmine Crockett vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, commands trader consensus at 91.5% in this safely Democratic Dallas-area district with a history of lopsided victories—such as Crockett's 73% in 2024. The Republican primary's fragmentation, yielding no majority and a May 26 runoff between low-performing candidates like Sholdon Daniels, underscores the party's challenges in this D+25 Cook PVI battleground. While odds reflect strong incumbency-like advantages for Haynes, a massive GOP funding surge, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans could narrow the path, though such shifts remain unlikely absent major catalysts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$3,413শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes, a prominent pastor who won the March 3 primary outright after incumbent Jasmine Crockett vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, commands trader consensus at 91.5% in this safely Democratic Dallas-area district with a history of lopsided victories—such as Crockett's 73% in 2024. The Republican primary's fragmentation, yielding no majority and a May 26 runoff between low-performing candidates like Sholdon Daniels, underscores the party's challenges in this D+25 Cook PVI battleground. While odds reflect strong incumbency-like advantages for Haynes, a massive GOP funding surge, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans could narrow the path, though such shifts remain unlikely absent major catalysts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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