The Texas 30th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders' consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the outcome. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit that prospect.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,810 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,480 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders' consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the outcome. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit that prospect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,291শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders' consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the outcome. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit that prospect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,291শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 30th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's heavy Democratic tilt. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders' consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the outcome. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit that prospect.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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