Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating chronic instability under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for National Assembly entry. A Market Links poll from April 7–14 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 109 of 240 seats, ahead of GERB-SDS (57 seats), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and Vazrazhdane (16), implying broad major-party success but risks for smaller lists like BSP below the threshold. Amid low prior turnout and warnings of vote-buying plus counterfeit euro schemes, Sofia has sought EU aid against Russian disinformation, while post-election coalition talks remain fraught given Radev's rejection of alliances with GERB, MRF, or PP-DB.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$102,382 Vol.

BSP
36%

MECh
21%

Velichie
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
$102,382 Vol.

BSP
36%

MECh
21%

Velichie
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating chronic instability under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for National Assembly entry. A Market Links poll from April 7–14 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 109 of 240 seats, ahead of GERB-SDS (57 seats), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and Vazrazhdane (16), implying broad major-party success but risks for smaller lists like BSP below the threshold. Amid low prior turnout and warnings of vote-buying plus counterfeit euro schemes, Sofia has sought EU aid against Russian disinformation, while post-election coalition talks remain fraught given Radev's rejection of alliances with GERB, MRF, or PP-DB.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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