Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows incumbent Cid Gomes holding a lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and several other contenders aligned with major party coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price multiple candidates near even odds because no clear frontrunner has emerged for the remaining seat under the state's plurality block voting system, with recent surveys indicating margins inside sampling error. Party endorsements, regional turnout patterns in Fortaleza and the interior, and last-minute campaign spending could widen or narrow the field before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLino Alves 47%
Luizianne 46%
Reginaldo 46%
Catarina Matos 45%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Lino Alves
47%
Luizianne
46%
Reginaldo
46%
Catarina Matos
45%
Guilherme Theophilo
44%
Capitão Wagner
42%
Cid Gomes
41%
Alcides Fernandes
41%
Lino Alves 47%
Luizianne 46%
Reginaldo 46%
Catarina Matos 45%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Lino Alves
$0 Vol.
47%
Luizianne
$0 Vol.
46%
Reginaldo
$0 Vol.
46%
Catarina Matos
$0 Vol.
45%
Guilherme Theophilo
$0 Vol.
44%
Capitão Wagner
$0 Vol.
42%
Cid Gomes
$0 Vol.
41%
Alcides Fernandes
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows incumbent Cid Gomes holding a lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and several other contenders aligned with major party coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price multiple candidates near even odds because no clear frontrunner has emerged for the remaining seat under the state's plurality block voting system, with recent surveys indicating margins inside sampling error. Party endorsements, regional turnout patterns in Fortaleza and the interior, and last-minute campaign spending could widen or narrow the field before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows incumbent Cid Gomes holding a lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and several other contenders aligned with major party coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price multiple candidates near even odds because no clear frontrunner has emerged for the remaining seat under the state's plurality block voting system, with recent surveys indicating margins inside sampling error. Party endorsements, regional turnout patterns in Fortaleza and the interior, and last-minute campaign spending could widen or narrow the field before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows incumbent Cid Gomes holding a lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and several other contenders aligned with major party coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price multiple candidates near even odds because no clear frontrunner has emerged for the remaining seat under the state's plurality block voting system, with recent surveys indicating margins inside sampling error. Party endorsements, regional turnout patterns in Fortaleza and the interior, and last-minute campaign spending could widen or narrow the field before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen