Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMaduros Frau Cilia Flores aus der Haft entlassen von...?
Maduros Frau Cilia Flores aus der Haft entlassen von...?
$1,375,004 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
31. Dezember
17%
$1,375,004 Vol.
31. Dezember
$328,403 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volumen
$1,375,004Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,375,004Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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