Recent April 2026 core CPI data, which rose to 2.8% year-over-year from 2.6% in March and exceeded consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May print due June 10. Persistent upward pressure from shelter costs, services prices, and energy pass-through has sustained core readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with forecasters projecting a 2.8–2.9% outcome for May. Market-implied odds reflect this trajectory, pricing limited downside risk absent a sharp reversal in commodity or tariff-related costs, while the Fed’s steady policy stance and hawkish communications reinforce the view that inflation momentum will hold near current levels through mid-year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCore CPI YoY - Mai 2026
Core CPI YoY - Mai 2026
2.8% 53%
2.9% 33%
3.0% 3.5%
3.1% 3.5%
$3,984 Vol.
$3,984 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
≤2.4%
<1%
2.5%
<1%
2.6%
1%
2.7%
1%
2.8%
53%
2.9%
33%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
1%
≥3.3%
<1%
2.8% 53%
2.9% 33%
3.0% 3.5%
3.1% 3.5%
$3,984 Vol.
$3,984 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
≤2.4%
$575 Vol.
<1%
2.5%
$205 Vol.
<1%
2.6%
$181 Vol.
1%
2.7%
$310 Vol.
1%
2.8%
$1,264 Vol.
53%
2.9%
$320 Vol.
33%
3.0%
$516 Vol.
4%
3.1%
$331 Vol.
4%
3.2%
$243 Vol.
1%
≥3.3%
$221 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 core CPI data, which rose to 2.8% year-over-year from 2.6% in March and exceeded consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May print due June 10. Persistent upward pressure from shelter costs, services prices, and energy pass-through has sustained core readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with forecasters projecting a 2.8–2.9% outcome for May. Market-implied odds reflect this trajectory, pricing limited downside risk absent a sharp reversal in commodity or tariff-related costs, while the Fed’s steady policy stance and hawkish communications reinforce the view that inflation momentum will hold near current levels through mid-year.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$3,984Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 core CPI data, which rose to 2.8% year-over-year from 2.6% in March and exceeded consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May print due June 10. Persistent upward pressure from shelter costs, services prices, and energy pass-through has sustained core readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with forecasters projecting a 2.8–2.9% outcome for May. Market-implied odds reflect this trajectory, pricing limited downside risk absent a sharp reversal in commodity or tariff-related costs, while the Fed’s steady policy stance and hawkish communications reinforce the view that inflation momentum will hold near current levels through mid-year.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$3,984Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 core CPI data, which rose to 2.8% year-over-year from 2.6% in March and exceeded consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May print due June 10. Persistent upward pressure from shelter costs, services prices, and energy pass-through has sustained core readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with forecasters projecting a 2.8–2.9% outcome for May. Market-implied odds reflect this trajectory, pricing limited downside risk absent a sharp reversal in commodity or tariff-related costs, while the Fed’s steady policy stance and hawkish communications reinforce the view that inflation momentum will hold near current levels through mid-year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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