Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by recent CPI and PCE readings, combined with a resilient labor market featuring low unemployment and solid job gains, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and tempered expectations for cuts. FOMC minutes and recent speeches highlight upside risks to inflation, prompting some participants to flag the possibility of policy firming if price pressures persist, while CME FedWatch and economist polls show markets pricing in a meaningful but not dominant chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting is widely expected to hold rates steady, leaving the 62.5% market-implied probability on no 2026 hike reflecting trader consensus that any tightening remains contingent on further data surprises rather than a baseline outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,869,184 Vol.
$1,869,184 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
Ja
$1,869,184 Vol.
$1,869,184 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by recent CPI and PCE readings, combined with a resilient labor market featuring low unemployment and solid job gains, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and tempered expectations for cuts. FOMC minutes and recent speeches highlight upside risks to inflation, prompting some participants to flag the possibility of policy firming if price pressures persist, while CME FedWatch and economist polls show markets pricing in a meaningful but not dominant chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting is widely expected to hold rates steady, leaving the 62.5% market-implied probability on no 2026 hike reflecting trader consensus that any tightening remains contingent on further data surprises rather than a baseline outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,869,184Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by recent CPI and PCE readings, combined with a resilient labor market featuring low unemployment and solid job gains, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and tempered expectations for cuts. FOMC minutes and recent speeches highlight upside risks to inflation, prompting some participants to flag the possibility of policy firming if price pressures persist, while CME FedWatch and economist polls show markets pricing in a meaningful but not dominant chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting is widely expected to hold rates steady, leaving the 62.5% market-implied probability on no 2026 hike reflecting trader consensus that any tightening remains contingent on further data surprises rather than a baseline outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,869,327Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by recent CPI and PCE readings, combined with a resilient labor market featuring low unemployment and solid job gains, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and tempered expectations for cuts. FOMC minutes and recent speeches highlight upside risks to inflation, prompting some participants to flag the possibility of policy firming if price pressures persist, while CME FedWatch and economist polls show markets pricing in a meaningful but not dominant chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting is widely expected to hold rates steady, leaving the 62.5% market-implied probability on no 2026 hike reflecting trader consensus that any tightening remains contingent on further data surprises rather than a baseline outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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