Persistent above-target inflation, with May 2026 headline CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks and geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing solid payroll gains, has anchored trader sentiment toward no federal funds rate increase through year-end. The target range remains steady at 3.50%-3.75%, and recent FOMC communications plus economist surveys reflect a wait-and-see stance under new leadership, with futures markets pricing limited scope for hikes despite some hawkish signals. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases on inflation and employment, which could shift implied probabilities if price pressures ease faster than expected or growth falters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,877,249 Vol.
$1,877,249 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
Ja
$1,877,249 Vol.
$1,877,249 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with May 2026 headline CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks and geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing solid payroll gains, has anchored trader sentiment toward no federal funds rate increase through year-end. The target range remains steady at 3.50%-3.75%, and recent FOMC communications plus economist surveys reflect a wait-and-see stance under new leadership, with futures markets pricing limited scope for hikes despite some hawkish signals. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases on inflation and employment, which could shift implied probabilities if price pressures ease faster than expected or growth falters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,877,249Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with May 2026 headline CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks and geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing solid payroll gains, has anchored trader sentiment toward no federal funds rate increase through year-end. The target range remains steady at 3.50%-3.75%, and recent FOMC communications plus economist surveys reflect a wait-and-see stance under new leadership, with futures markets pricing limited scope for hikes despite some hawkish signals. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases on inflation and employment, which could shift implied probabilities if price pressures ease faster than expected or growth falters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,877,428Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent above-target inflation, with May 2026 headline CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks and geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing solid payroll gains, has anchored trader sentiment toward no federal funds rate increase through year-end. The target range remains steady at 3.50%-3.75%, and recent FOMC communications plus economist surveys reflect a wait-and-see stance under new leadership, with futures markets pricing limited scope for hikes despite some hawkish signals. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases on inflation and employment, which could shift implied probabilities if price pressures ease faster than expected or growth falters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen