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Politik·Jerome Powell

Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?

Market icon
Politik·Jerome Powell

Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?

NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$4,566 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$2,268 Vol.

10%

31. Dezember

$2,298 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview intensified trader focus on Federal Reserve independence, as he vowed to remove Jerome Powell from the Fed Board if the chair stays on as governor beyond his May 15 term expiration—despite Powell's seat lasting until January 2028 and legal precedents requiring "for cause" dismissal. This escalates amid a stalled DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony and Fed renovations, now blocked by courts, alongside Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor chair, facing Senate confirmation hurdles. With fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, markets price elevated uncertainty into monetary policy trajectories, ahead of Warsh's hearing and the May FOMC meeting. Polymarket traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on the odds of an attempt, weighing political resolve against judicial barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,566
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview intensified trader focus on Federal Reserve independence, as he vowed to remove Jerome Powell from the Fed Board if the chair stays on as governor beyond his May 15 term expiration—despite Powell's seat lasting until January 2028 and legal precedents requiring "for cause" dismissal. This escalates amid a stalled DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony and Fed renovations, now blocked by courts, alongside Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor chair, facing Senate confirmation hurdles. With fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, markets price elevated uncertainty into monetary policy trajectories, ahead of Warsh's hearing and the May FOMC meeting. Polymarket traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on the odds of an attempt, weighing political resolve against judicial barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,566
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember" mit 19%, gefolgt von „June 30" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 19¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 19% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 16, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?" ist „31. Dezember" mit 19%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 19% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „June 30" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird Trump versuchen, Powell als Fed-Vorstandsmitglied zu feuern, bis...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.