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When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Market icon

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 30–June 5 18%

June 6–12 18%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
NEU

May 30–June 5 18%

June 6–12 18%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
NEU

Before May 15

$94 Vol.

5%

May 15–22

$198 Vol.

13%

May 23–29

$95 Vol.

8%

May 30–June 5

$40 Vol.

18%

June 6–12

$59 Vol.

18%

June 13–19

$0 Vol.

8%

June 20–26

$61 Vol.

9%

June 27–July 3

$0 Vol.

11%

After July 3

$61 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Powell's Fed Chair term expires May 15 amid President Trump's January nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, but confirmation remains pending due to an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell and Senate procedural hurdles. Powell stated March 18 he will serve as interim chair until Warsh's confirmation and stay on the Board of Governors through 2028 pending probe resolution, prompting Trump's April 15 threat of removal if he lingers post-term. Trader consensus clusters 17.5% odds on May 30–June 5 and June 6–12, reflecting expectations of swift post-May 15 transition via recess appointment or expedited vote, kept tight by probe delays and uncertain hearing timelines; Warsh confirmation or probe closure could separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$607
Enddatum
3. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Powell's Fed Chair term expires May 15 amid President Trump's January nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, but confirmation remains pending due to an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell and Senate procedural hurdles. Powell stated March 18 he will serve as interim chair until Warsh's confirmation and stay on the Board of Governors through 2028 pending probe resolution, prompting Trump's April 15 threat of removal if he lingers post-term. Trader consensus clusters 17.5% odds on May 30–June 5 and June 6–12, reflecting expectations of swift post-May 15 transition via recess appointment or expedited vote, kept tight by probe delays and uncertain hearing timelines; Warsh confirmation or probe closure could separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$607
Enddatum
3. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „May 30–June 5" mit 18%, gefolgt von „June 6–12" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 18¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 16, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ist „May 30–June 5" mit 18%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „June 6–12" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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