Powell's Fed Chair term expires May 15 amid President Trump's January nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, but confirmation remains pending due to an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell and Senate procedural hurdles. Powell stated March 18 he will serve as interim chair until Warsh's confirmation and stay on the Board of Governors through 2028 pending probe resolution, prompting Trump's April 15 threat of removal if he lingers post-term. Trader consensus clusters 17.5% odds on May 30–June 5 and June 6–12, reflecting expectations of swift post-May 15 transition via recess appointment or expedited vote, kept tight by probe delays and uncertain hearing timelines; Warsh confirmation or probe closure could separate frontrunners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 30–June 5 18%
June 6–12 18%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
Before May 15
5%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
8%
May 30–June 5
18%
June 6–12
18%
June 13–19
8%
June 20–26
9%
June 27–July 3
11%
After July 3
11%
May 30–June 5 18%
June 6–12 18%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
Before May 15
5%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
8%
May 30–June 5
18%
June 6–12
18%
June 13–19
8%
June 20–26
9%
June 27–July 3
11%
After July 3
11%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Powell's Fed Chair term expires May 15 amid President Trump's January nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, but confirmation remains pending due to an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell and Senate procedural hurdles. Powell stated March 18 he will serve as interim chair until Warsh's confirmation and stay on the Board of Governors through 2028 pending probe resolution, prompting Trump's April 15 threat of removal if he lingers post-term. Trader consensus clusters 17.5% odds on May 30–June 5 and June 6–12, reflecting expectations of swift post-May 15 transition via recess appointment or expedited vote, kept tight by probe delays and uncertain hearing timelines; Warsh confirmation or probe closure could separate frontrunners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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