Powell's term as Fed governor runs through January 2028, and following his May 2026 departure as chair, he stated in the April 29 FOMC press conference that he intends to remain on the Board for a period to be determined until an investigation into the headquarters construction project reaches transparency and finality. This stance, framed against ongoing legal challenges to Fed independence, underpins trader sentiment on the "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" market, where December 31, 2026 trades near 38-40% implied probability. Key near-term variables include the pace of any DOJ or congressional probes, potential administration efforts to accelerate a vacancy, and broader monetary policy continuity under Chair Kevin Warsh, whose own term extends to 2030. No major developments have altered the baseline since the chair transition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$421,796 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
31. Dezember
35%
$421,796 Vol.
31. Dezember
$135,204 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's term as Fed governor runs through January 2028, and following his May 2026 departure as chair, he stated in the April 29 FOMC press conference that he intends to remain on the Board for a period to be determined until an investigation into the headquarters construction project reaches transparency and finality. This stance, framed against ongoing legal challenges to Fed independence, underpins trader sentiment on the "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" market, where December 31, 2026 trades near 38-40% implied probability. Key near-term variables include the pace of any DOJ or congressional probes, potential administration efforts to accelerate a vacancy, and broader monetary policy continuity under Chair Kevin Warsh, whose own term extends to 2030. No major developments have altered the baseline since the chair transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$421,796Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's term as Fed governor runs through January 2028, and following his May 2026 departure as chair, he stated in the April 29 FOMC press conference that he intends to remain on the Board for a period to be determined until an investigation into the headquarters construction project reaches transparency and finality. This stance, framed against ongoing legal challenges to Fed independence, underpins trader sentiment on the "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" market, where December 31, 2026 trades near 38-40% implied probability. Key near-term variables include the pace of any DOJ or congressional probes, potential administration efforts to accelerate a vacancy, and broader monetary policy continuity under Chair Kevin Warsh, whose own term extends to 2030. No major developments have altered the baseline since the chair transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$421,796Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Powell's term as Fed governor runs through January 2028, and following his May 2026 departure as chair, he stated in the April 29 FOMC press conference that he intends to remain on the Board for a period to be determined until an investigation into the headquarters construction project reaches transparency and finality. This stance, framed against ongoing legal challenges to Fed independence, underpins trader sentiment on the "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" market, where December 31, 2026 trades near 38-40% implied probability. Key near-term variables include the pace of any DOJ or congressional probes, potential administration efforts to accelerate a vacancy, and broader monetary policy continuity under Chair Kevin Warsh, whose own term extends to 2030. No major developments have altered the baseline since the chair transition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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