As of late July 2026, Kevin Warsh has served as Fed Chair since May 22 following the end of Jerome Powell’s four-year term on May 15, while Powell continues as a Board governor with a term extending to January 2028. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board for an undetermined period to ensure transparency around a resolved headquarters construction investigation and to safeguard institutional independence amid prior political tensions. Market-implied odds reflect the structural barriers to early departure, including statutory protections against removal except for cause, alongside Powell’s stated intent to stay. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in administration policy toward the Fed, potential Board vacancies, or statements from Powell himself that could alter trader assessments of his tenure length.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$431,441 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
31. Dezember
32%
$431,441 Vol.
31. Dezember
$144,849 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.As of late July 2026, Kevin Warsh has served as Fed Chair since May 22 following the end of Jerome Powell’s four-year term on May 15, while Powell continues as a Board governor with a term extending to January 2028. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board for an undetermined period to ensure transparency around a resolved headquarters construction investigation and to safeguard institutional independence amid prior political tensions. Market-implied odds reflect the structural barriers to early departure, including statutory protections against removal except for cause, alongside Powell’s stated intent to stay. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in administration policy toward the Fed, potential Board vacancies, or statements from Powell himself that could alter trader assessments of his tenure length.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$431,441Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.As of late July 2026, Kevin Warsh has served as Fed Chair since May 22 following the end of Jerome Powell’s four-year term on May 15, while Powell continues as a Board governor with a term extending to January 2028. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board for an undetermined period to ensure transparency around a resolved headquarters construction investigation and to safeguard institutional independence amid prior political tensions. Market-implied odds reflect the structural barriers to early departure, including statutory protections against removal except for cause, alongside Powell’s stated intent to stay. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in administration policy toward the Fed, potential Board vacancies, or statements from Powell himself that could alter trader assessments of his tenure length.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$431,441Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of late July 2026, Kevin Warsh has served as Fed Chair since May 22 following the end of Jerome Powell’s four-year term on May 15, while Powell continues as a Board governor with a term extending to January 2028. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board for an undetermined period to ensure transparency around a resolved headquarters construction investigation and to safeguard institutional independence amid prior political tensions. Market-implied odds reflect the structural barriers to early departure, including statutory protections against removal except for cause, alongside Powell’s stated intent to stay. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in administration policy toward the Fed, potential Board vacancies, or statements from Powell himself that could alter trader assessments of his tenure length.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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