Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert100-119 35%
80-99 30%
120-139 26%
140-159 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<20
<1%
20–39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
35%
120-139
26%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
8%
200+
2%
100-119 35%
80-99 30%
120-139 26%
140-159 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<20
$5,562 Vol.
<1%
20–39
$942 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$242 Vol.
1%
60-79
$331 Vol.
4%
80-99
$158 Vol.
30%
100-119
$149 Vol.
35%
120-139
$171 Vol.
26%
140-159
$94 Vol.
8%
160-179
$75 Vol.
5%
180-199
$500 Vol.
8%
200+
$1,192 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$9,417Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,417Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Truth Social posts for April 17-24 at around 100, with 100-119 (34.5%), 80-99 (29.5%), and 120-139 (26%) tightly clustered, reflecting his historical average of roughly 18 daily posts from 2025 data but tempered by 2026 variability amid foreign policy pressures. Recent escalation in the Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff—including Trump's April 7 "civilization will die" warning, Easter profanity-laced ultimatums, and a 10-day pause announcement—has spiked output, as seen in the prior week's partial count exceeding 70 posts by April 15. Feuds like attacks on Pope Leo over crime and foreign policy add bursts. The race stays close due to unpredictable executive announcements or diplomatic shifts; resolution of Iran tensions or travel could push toward extremes, while routine White House schedules might stabilize near the middle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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