Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on June 6?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,774 Vol.
$86,774 Vol.
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,774 Vol.
$86,774 Vol.
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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