Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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