Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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