Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal pattern for Chicago on August 6, with daytime highs likely held in the mid to upper 70s by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and modest boundary-layer moisture that limits insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with the broader early-August 2026 trend of below-average temperatures across the Midwest, driven by persistent northerly flow and lack of strong warm advection. Trader emphasis on the 76–81 °F bins reflects these conditions, while the August normal of roughly 83–84 °F provides climatological context for why higher outcomes remain low-probability. Forecasters will monitor the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for any shifts in cloud trends or 850-hPa temperatures that could allow modest warming.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 6. August?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F oder höher
1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
$20 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$247 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$45 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$39 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$100 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$31 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
4%
30-31°C
$40 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$35 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$25 Vol.
1%
92°F oder höher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal pattern for Chicago on August 6, with daytime highs likely held in the mid to upper 70s by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and modest boundary-layer moisture that limits insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with the broader early-August 2026 trend of below-average temperatures across the Midwest, driven by persistent northerly flow and lack of strong warm advection. Trader emphasis on the 76–81 °F bins reflects these conditions, while the August normal of roughly 83–84 °F provides climatological context for why higher outcomes remain low-probability. Forecasters will monitor the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for any shifts in cloud trends or 850-hPa temperatures that could allow modest warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$653Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal pattern for Chicago on August 6, with daytime highs likely held in the mid to upper 70s by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and modest boundary-layer moisture that limits insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with the broader early-August 2026 trend of below-average temperatures across the Midwest, driven by persistent northerly flow and lack of strong warm advection. Trader emphasis on the 76–81 °F bins reflects these conditions, while the August normal of roughly 83–84 °F provides climatological context for why higher outcomes remain low-probability. Forecasters will monitor the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for any shifts in cloud trends or 850-hPa temperatures that could allow modest warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$653Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a cooler-than-normal pattern for Chicago on August 6, with daytime highs likely held in the mid to upper 70s by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and modest boundary-layer moisture that limits insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with the broader early-August 2026 trend of below-average temperatures across the Midwest, driven by persistent northerly flow and lack of strong warm advection. Trader emphasis on the 76–81 °F bins reflects these conditions, while the August normal of roughly 83–84 °F provides climatological context for why higher outcomes remain low-probability. Forecasters will monitor the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for any shifts in cloud trends or 850-hPa temperatures that could allow modest warming.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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