Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 3. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 3. Juni?
28°C oder höher 100%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Vol.
$17,834 Vol.
3. Juni 2026
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Ja
28°C oder höher 100%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Vol.
$17,834 Vol.
3. Juni 2026
18°C oder darunter
$436 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$436 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$551 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$561 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$546 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,404 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$657 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,095 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$2,943 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,737 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$4,468 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$17,834Enddatum
3. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,834Enddatum
3. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen