Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and Yr.no, consistently project a daytime high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 20 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. Morning observations already near 24–27°C support continued warming into the afternoon, aligning with typical early-autumn patterns in Shandong where highs often reach the upper 20s. This strong consensus across numerical weather prediction runs underpins the market’s 96% implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or precipitation that caps temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal rain risk and stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 20. September?
26°C oder höher 99.8%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
100%
26°C oder höher 99.8%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and Yr.no, consistently project a daytime high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 20 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. Morning observations already near 24–27°C support continued warming into the afternoon, aligning with typical early-autumn patterns in Shandong where highs often reach the upper 20s. This strong consensus across numerical weather prediction runs underpins the market’s 96% implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or precipitation that caps temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal rain risk and stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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