Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a high near 22–23 °C for London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, following a sharp cooldown from mid-August heat records exceeding 35 °C. Primary drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover alongside Atlantic frontal systems remaining north of the UK, limiting advection of warmer air. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture, producing the broad 17–27 °C probability distribution reflected in equal market-implied odds; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 24. August?
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$25 Vol.
4%
19°C
$50 Vol.
4%
20°C
$70 Vol.
13%
21°C
$52 Vol.
31%
22°C
$22 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$11 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a high near 22–23 °C for London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, following a sharp cooldown from mid-August heat records exceeding 35 °C. Primary drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover alongside Atlantic frontal systems remaining north of the UK, limiting advection of warmer air. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture, producing the broad 17–27 °C probability distribution reflected in equal market-implied odds; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volumen
$246Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a high near 22–23 °C for London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, following a sharp cooldown from mid-August heat records exceeding 35 °C. Primary drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover alongside Atlantic frontal systems remaining north of the UK, limiting advection of warmer air. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture, producing the broad 17–27 °C probability distribution reflected in equal market-implied odds; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$246Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a high near 22–23 °C for London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, following a sharp cooldown from mid-August heat records exceeding 35 °C. Primary drivers include a building ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover alongside Atlantic frontal systems remaining north of the UK, limiting advection of warmer air. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture, producing the broad 17–27 °C probability distribution reflected in equal market-implied odds; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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