India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 39.8°C on April 16, 2026—1.3°C above normal—with dry conditions persisting. The latest IMD state bulletin forecasts a gradual 2-3°C rise in maximum temperatures over the next 3-4 days through April 20, driven by continued dry weather, light winds, and upper-level subsidence inhibiting cloud formation during this pre-monsoon period. This positions 41°C as the trader consensus at 52% implied probability for April 18's high at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with 42°C close behind at 30.5%, reflecting model agreement on intensification amid regional heatwave patterns in Uttar Pradesh. Daily IMD updates tomorrow could refine this outlook as actual measurements unfold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 49%
42°C 31%
40°C 15%
43°C 5.4%
$13,029 Vol.
$13,029 Vol.
39°C or below
2%
40°C
15%
41°C
49%
42°C
31%
43°C
5%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
41°C 49%
42°C 31%
40°C 15%
43°C 5.4%
$13,029 Vol.
$13,029 Vol.
39°C or below
2%
40°C
15%
41°C
49%
42°C
31%
43°C
5%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 39.8°C on April 16, 2026—1.3°C above normal—with dry conditions persisting. The latest IMD state bulletin forecasts a gradual 2-3°C rise in maximum temperatures over the next 3-4 days through April 20, driven by continued dry weather, light winds, and upper-level subsidence inhibiting cloud formation during this pre-monsoon period. This positions 41°C as the trader consensus at 52% implied probability for April 18's high at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, with 42°C close behind at 30.5%, reflecting model agreement on intensification amid regional heatwave patterns in Uttar Pradesh. Daily IMD updates tomorrow could refine this outlook as actual measurements unfold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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