Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Lucknow's August 25 maximum, reflecting trader consensus on active monsoon conditions. The IMD forecast indicates partly cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers, consistent with the monsoon trough overhead and recent observations of 32–34°C maxima amid frequent showers. Persistent humidity and cloud cover limit daytime heating, while rainfall timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty that could push readings slightly higher or lower. Model consensus and official updates through the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are weighting against historical August baselines near 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. August?
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
29°C 15%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
29°C 15%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Lucknow's August 25 maximum, reflecting trader consensus on active monsoon conditions. The IMD forecast indicates partly cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers, consistent with the monsoon trough overhead and recent observations of 32–34°C maxima amid frequent showers. Persistent humidity and cloud cover limit daytime heating, while rainfall timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty that could push readings slightly higher or lower. Model consensus and official updates through the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are weighting against historical August baselines near 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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