**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 21, reflecting recent official forecasts and post-monsoon conditions.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlook shows mainly clear skies with a maximum near 36°C after scattered rainfall on September 19 eased humidity and cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh. Traders appear to weigh this against slightly cooler numerical model guidance and typical early-autumn variability, where daytime heating under reduced cloudiness can push readings into the mid-30s but rarely sustains the upper end without stronger subsidence. Historical September maxima in Lucknow average around 33°C, and the current dry spell following monsoon retreat supports the 34°C consensus while leaving limited room for 35°C+ outcomes unless additional warming signals emerge before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. September?
34°C 56%
33°C 33%
35°C 9%
32°C 3%
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
33%
34°C
56%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 56%
33°C 33%
35°C 9%
32°C 3%
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
33%
34°C
56%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 21, reflecting recent official forecasts and post-monsoon conditions.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlook shows mainly clear skies with a maximum near 36°C after scattered rainfall on September 19 eased humidity and cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh. Traders appear to weigh this against slightly cooler numerical model guidance and typical early-autumn variability, where daytime heating under reduced cloudiness can push readings into the mid-30s but rarely sustains the upper end without stronger subsidence. Historical September maxima in Lucknow average around 33°C, and the current dry spell following monsoon retreat supports the 34°C consensus while leaving limited room for 35°C+ outcomes unless additional warming signals emerge before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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