Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 5. August?
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$179 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,196 Vol.
2%
25°C
$608 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,429 Vol.
49%
27°C
$749 Vol.
34%
28°C
$378 Vol.
9%
29°C
$261 Vol.
1%
30°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$6,865Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,865Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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