Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 1. August?
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
85°F oder niedriger
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
85°F oder niedriger
$264 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$111 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$81 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$490 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$589 Vol.
51%
94-95°F
$2,072 Vol.
29%
96-97°F
$549 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$52 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$71 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
104°F oder höher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$4,711Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,711Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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