Current forecasts from European and global models point to peak temperatures in Milan of 34–36°C on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing, while the Po Valley’s topography and urban heat-island effects amplify maximum readings. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture create the tight clustering around 34°C (37%) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C still plausible if peak heating aligns perfectly. Historical August maxima near 32°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the elevated market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Milan Linate observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 15. August?
35°C 38%
34°C 36%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
36%
35°C
35%
36°C
19%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 36%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$24 Vol.
1%
32°C
$64 Vol.
3%
33°C
$80 Vol.
7%
34°C
$211 Vol.
36%
35°C
$363 Vol.
35%
36°C
$23 Vol.
19%
37°C
$6 Vol.
5%
38°C
$5 Vol.
5%
39°C
$7 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$71 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models point to peak temperatures in Milan of 34–36°C on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing, while the Po Valley’s topography and urban heat-island effects amplify maximum readings. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture create the tight clustering around 34°C (37%) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C still plausible if peak heating aligns perfectly. Historical August maxima near 32°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the elevated market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Milan Linate observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,069Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models point to peak temperatures in Milan of 34–36°C on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing, while the Po Valley’s topography and urban heat-island effects amplify maximum readings. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture create the tight clustering around 34°C (37%) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C still plausible if peak heating aligns perfectly. Historical August maxima near 32°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the elevated market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Milan Linate observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,069Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European and global models point to peak temperatures in Milan of 34–36°C on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing, while the Po Valley’s topography and urban heat-island effects amplify maximum readings. Ensemble spreads and subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture create the tight clustering around 34°C (37%) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C still plausible if peak heating aligns perfectly. Historical August maxima near 32°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the elevated market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official Milan Linate observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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