Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on May 7?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 Vol.
$153,987 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 Vol.
$153,987 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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