Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 16–18°C for Munich on September 21, 2026, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage. This pattern, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to the preceding days’ 23–24°C readings. Model consensus supports these moderate maxima, well below the long-term average high of 18.9°C for the date. Traders have priced 17°C as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 29% and 18°C at 23.5%, reflecting tight clustering around the expected peak amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty in timing and exact cloud/precipitation impacts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 21. September?
17°C 42%
16°C 29%
18°C 24%
19°C 7%
14°C oder darunter
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
29%
17°C
42%
18°C
24%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 42%
16°C 29%
18°C 24%
19°C 7%
14°C oder darunter
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
29%
17°C
42%
18°C
24%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 16–18°C for Munich on September 21, 2026, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage. This pattern, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to the preceding days’ 23–24°C readings. Model consensus supports these moderate maxima, well below the long-term average high of 18.9°C for the date. Traders have priced 17°C as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 29% and 18°C at 23.5%, reflecting tight clustering around the expected peak amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty in timing and exact cloud/precipitation impacts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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