Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 20. August?
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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