Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light northwest winds that moderate coastal temperatures through sea-breeze effects. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 30–32°C, though the approach of a slightly cooler air mass and increasing cloud cover could cap the peak. The tight clustering of market probabilities across 28–35°C reflects model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, alongside the influence of urban heat islands versus official station readings. Minor shifts in subsidence strength or wind direction could easily differentiate outcomes within this narrow band. Updated short-range model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 24. September?
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
33°C 39%
34°C 39%
27°C oder weniger
4%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
23%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C oder höher
4%
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
33°C 39%
34°C 39%
27°C oder weniger
4%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
23%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light northwest winds that moderate coastal temperatures through sea-breeze effects. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 30–32°C, though the approach of a slightly cooler air mass and increasing cloud cover could cap the peak. The tight clustering of market probabilities across 28–35°C reflects model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, alongside the influence of urban heat islands versus official station readings. Minor shifts in subsidence strength or wind direction could easily differentiate outcomes within this narrow band. Updated short-range model runs and Israel Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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