Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions, driven by an advancing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep temperatures well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance holding the peak in the 13–16°C range and only isolated warmer solutions near 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 15°C and 14°C as clear leaders while probabilities for 16°C or higher remain secondary pending any final pre-event adjustments to steering flow or precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. September?
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 20%
13°C 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
47%
16°C
20%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 20%
13°C 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$267 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$122 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$199 Vol.
5%
14°C
$3,049 Vol.
26%
15°C
$813 Vol.
47%
16°C
$2,817 Vol.
20%
17°C
$218 Vol.
4%
18°C
$200 Vol.
2%
19°C
$105 Vol.
1%
20°C oder höher
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions, driven by an advancing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep temperatures well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance holding the peak in the 13–16°C range and only isolated warmer solutions near 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 15°C and 14°C as clear leaders while probabilities for 16°C or higher remain secondary pending any final pre-event adjustments to steering flow or precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,977Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions, driven by an advancing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep temperatures well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance holding the peak in the 13–16°C range and only isolated warmer solutions near 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 15°C and 14°C as clear leaders while probabilities for 16°C or higher remain secondary pending any final pre-event adjustments to steering flow or precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,977Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 21 under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions, driven by an advancing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep temperatures well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance holding the peak in the 13–16°C range and only isolated warmer solutions near 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 15°C and 14°C as clear leaders while probabilities for 16°C or higher remain secondary pending any final pre-event adjustments to steering flow or precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen