**Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a daily minimum near 10–12°C for Warsaw on September 21, driven by persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out around 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with winds of 10–15 km/h, while daytime highs reach only 15–17°C amid the unsettled pattern. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average minima hover near 10°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in the overnight low, though small timing differences in precipitation or wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The closely matched market odds around 10–12°C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty and the influence of real-time observational data updates from the Polish meteorological service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. September?
16°C oder höher 92%
6°C oder weniger 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 38%
6°C oder weniger
49%
7°C
14%
8°C
18%
9°C
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
27%
12°C
38%
13°C
15%
14°C
11%
15°C
11%
16°C oder höher
92%
16°C oder höher 92%
6°C oder weniger 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 38%
6°C oder weniger
49%
7°C
14%
8°C
18%
9°C
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
27%
12°C
38%
13°C
15%
14°C
11%
15°C
11%
16°C oder höher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a daily minimum near 10–12°C for Warsaw on September 21, driven by persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out around 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with winds of 10–15 km/h, while daytime highs reach only 15–17°C amid the unsettled pattern. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average minima hover near 10°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in the overnight low, though small timing differences in precipitation or wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The closely matched market odds around 10–12°C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty and the influence of real-time observational data updates from the Polish meteorological service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen