Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological agencies points to a moderating westerly flow and scattered showers overnight, keeping Warsaw's minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 20. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with modest advection of cooler maritime air, creates the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11°C or below versus 13°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, but current conditions feature higher dew points and light winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs from the next model cycle will clarify whether clearing skies allow a dip below 12°C or persistent cloud keeps readings slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 20. September?
11°C oder weniger 100%
12°C 50%
13°C 50%
14°C <1%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
100%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
11°C oder weniger 100%
12°C 50%
13°C 50%
14°C <1%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological agencies points to a moderating westerly flow and scattered showers overnight, keeping Warsaw's minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 20. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with modest advection of cooler maritime air, creates the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11°C or below versus 13°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, but current conditions feature higher dew points and light winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs from the next model cycle will clarify whether clearing skies allow a dip below 12°C or persistent cloud keeps readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$444Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological agencies points to a moderating westerly flow and scattered showers overnight, keeping Warsaw's minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 20. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with modest advection of cooler maritime air, creates the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11°C or below versus 13°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, but current conditions feature higher dew points and light winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs from the next model cycle will clarify whether clearing skies allow a dip below 12°C or persistent cloud keeps readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$444Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European meteorological agencies points to a moderating westerly flow and scattered showers overnight, keeping Warsaw's minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 20. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, combined with modest advection of cooler maritime air, creates the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11°C or below versus 13°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, but current conditions feature higher dew points and light winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs from the next model cycle will clarify whether clearing skies allow a dip below 12°C or persistent cloud keeps readings slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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