Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 31–32°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and a 75–93% chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on storm timing and coverage, which directly affects whether the daily maximum crosses into the low 30s Celsius or holds at 31°C. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs reach about 31–33°C but frequently moderate under monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clearer intervals allowing brief warming and widespread convection capping peaks, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 24. August?
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
44%
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 31–32°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and a 75–93% chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on storm timing and coverage, which directly affects whether the daily maximum crosses into the low 30s Celsius or holds at 31°C. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs reach about 31–33°C but frequently moderate under monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clearer intervals allowing brief warming and widespread convection capping peaks, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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