Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 24. August?
25°C oder höher 100.0%
15°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
15°C oder niedriger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Ja
25°C oder höher 100.0%
15°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
15°C oder niedriger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen