SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
≤8
No
9
No
10
No
11
No
12
Yes
13
No
14 or more
No
12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
≤8
$944 Vol.
No
9
$1,066 Vol.
No
10
$204 Vol.
No
11
$479 Vol.
No
12
$1,028 Vol.
Yes
13
$1,911 Vol.
No
14 or more
$1,825 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$7,458Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volumen
$7,458Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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