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icon for Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?

Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?

icon for Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?

Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?

$532,459 Vol.

30. Juli 2026
Polymarket

$532,459 Vol.

Polymarket

Hong Wang

$82,032 Vol.

84%

Jacob Tsimerman

$54,316 Vol.

67%

John Pardon

$84,731 Vol.

65%

Yu Deng

$118,056 Vol.

49%

Jack Thorne

$101,149 Vol.

56%

Vesselin Dimitrov

$0 Vol.

45%

Julian Sahasrabudhe

$84,570 Vol.

25%

Aleksandr Logunov

$262 Vol.

32%

Sam Raskin

$2,597 Vol.

19%

Will Sawin

$4,170 Vol.

10%

Alexander Efimov

$576 Vol.

9%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Recent breakthroughs in key areas like harmonic analysis and number theory have elevated Hong Wang and Jacob Tsimerman as leading contenders for the 2026 Fields Medal, with Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture drawing particular attention in the mathematical community. Other strong candidates including Jack Thorne and John Pardon have built momentum through major advances in arithmetic geometry and symplectic topology, aligning with historical patterns where transformative proofs in the years leading up to the International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM) heavily influence the IMU selection committee. The awards, limited to mathematicians under 40 and announced at the July 2026 ICM in Philadelphia, remain highly competitive with up to four recipients possible. Traders should monitor any additional high-profile results or announcements through mid-2026, as the secret voting process can favor unexpected shifts in perceived impact.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$532,459
Enddatum
30. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Recent breakthroughs in key areas like harmonic analysis and number theory have elevated Hong Wang and Jacob Tsimerman as leading contenders for the 2026 Fields Medal, with Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture drawing particular attention in the mathematical community. Other strong candidates including Jack Thorne and John Pardon have built momentum through major advances in arithmetic geometry and symplectic topology, aligning with historical patterns where transformative proofs in the years leading up to the International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM) heavily influence the IMU selection committee. The awards, limited to mathematicians under 40 and announced at the July 2026 ICM in Philadelphia, remain highly competitive with up to four recipients possible. Traders should monitor any additional high-profile results or announcements through mid-2026, as the secret voting process can favor unexpected shifts in perceived impact.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$532,459
Enddatum
30. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Hong Wang" mit 84%, gefolgt von „Jacob Tsimerman" mit 67%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 84¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $532.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?" ist „Hong Wang" mit 84%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jacob Tsimerman" mit 67%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer gewinnt die Fields-Medaille 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.