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Politik·Märkte Twittern

Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?

Market icon
Politik·Märkte Twittern

Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?

Apr. 14

Apr. 17

Apr. 21

Apr. 14

Apr. 17

Apr. 21

60+ 90%

5-9 50%

10-14 50%

30-34 49%

Polymarket
NEU

60+ 90%

5-9 50%

10-14 50%

30-34 49%

Polymarket
NEU

<5

$0 Vol.

49%

5-9

$0 Vol.

50%

10-14

$0 Vol.

50%

15-19

$0 Vol.

49%

20-24

$0 Vol.

49%

25–29

$0 Vol.

47%

30-34

$0 Vol.

49%

35-39

$6 Vol.

47%

40-44

$37 Vol.

47%

45-49

$36 Vol.

2%

50-54

$36 Vol.

2%

55-59

$36 Vol.

2%

60+

$67 Vol.

90%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$218
Enddatum
21. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$218
Enddatum
21. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „5-9" mit 50%, gefolgt von „10-14" mit 50%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Khamenei # posts 14. April - 21. April 2026?" ist „5-9" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „10-14" mit 50%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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