Forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Beijing on September 3 around 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by residual summer warmth and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-teens to low-20s outcomes because ensemble spreads in global and regional models show modest uncertainty from potential changes in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter the rate of nocturnal temperature drop by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities balanced rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 3. September?
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
14°C 43%
18°C 32%
13°C or below
69%
14°C
43%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
32%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
14°C 43%
18°C 32%
13°C or below
69%
14°C
43%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
32%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Beijing on September 3 around 19–21°C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by residual summer warmth and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-teens to low-20s outcomes because ensemble spreads in global and regional models show modest uncertainty from potential changes in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter the rate of nocturnal temperature drop by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities balanced rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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