**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service (SMN) and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Winds of 20–30 km/h from the southwest will enhance mixing initially but ease overnight, allowing surface temperatures to drop further under high pressure. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, so this represents a notable cold anomaly tied to the recent frontal passage. Model consensus is tight on the range, though small differences in timing of wind shifts or residual cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 4°C, 5°C, and 6°C outcomes, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band and the skin-in-the-game assessment of official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 5. September?
13°C oder höher 59%
9°C 48%
3°C oder weniger 40%
5°C 30%
3°C oder weniger
40%
4°C
26%
5°C
30%
6°C
30%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
48%
10°C
14%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C oder höher
59%
13°C oder höher 59%
9°C 48%
3°C oder weniger 40%
5°C 30%
3°C oder weniger
40%
4°C
26%
5°C
30%
6°C
30%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
48%
10°C
14%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C oder höher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service (SMN) and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 4–6°C for Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Winds of 20–30 km/h from the southwest will enhance mixing initially but ease overnight, allowing surface temperatures to drop further under high pressure. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, so this represents a notable cold anomaly tied to the recent frontal passage. Model consensus is tight on the range, though small differences in timing of wind shifts or residual cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 4°C, 5°C, and 6°C outcomes, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band and the skin-in-the-game assessment of official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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