Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight elevated uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Helsinki on August 21, driven by variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and proximity to cooler Baltic maritime air masses that can enhance nocturnal temperature drops below the seasonal average low near 12–13°C. Official guidance projects a minimum around 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, yet model spreads and historical analogs of late-August cold outbreaks support the market-implied emphasis on outcomes at or below 5°C alongside clustered probabilities near 11–13°C. Upcoming FMI updates and observational data from the evening hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 21. August?
10°C 48%
5°C or below 35%
12°C 31%
13°C 31%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
35%
6°C
14%
7°C
5%
8°C
24%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
31%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 48%
5°C or below 35%
12°C 31%
13°C 31%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
$30 Vol.
35%
6°C
$34 Vol.
14%
7°C
$57 Vol.
5%
8°C
$7 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$2 Vol.
26%
11°C
$16 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$214 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight elevated uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Helsinki on August 21, driven by variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and proximity to cooler Baltic maritime air masses that can enhance nocturnal temperature drops below the seasonal average low near 12–13°C. Official guidance projects a minimum around 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, yet model spreads and historical analogs of late-August cold outbreaks support the market-implied emphasis on outcomes at or below 5°C alongside clustered probabilities near 11–13°C. Upcoming FMI updates and observational data from the evening hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$594Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight elevated uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Helsinki on August 21, driven by variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and proximity to cooler Baltic maritime air masses that can enhance nocturnal temperature drops below the seasonal average low near 12–13°C. Official guidance projects a minimum around 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, yet model spreads and historical analogs of late-August cold outbreaks support the market-implied emphasis on outcomes at or below 5°C alongside clustered probabilities near 11–13°C. Upcoming FMI updates and observational data from the evening hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$594Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight elevated uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Helsinki on August 21, driven by variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and proximity to cooler Baltic maritime air masses that can enhance nocturnal temperature drops below the seasonal average low near 12–13°C. Official guidance projects a minimum around 12–13°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, yet model spreads and historical analogs of late-August cold outbreaks support the market-implied emphasis on outcomes at or below 5°C alongside clustered probabilities near 11–13°C. Upcoming FMI updates and observational data from the evening hours will likely refine these trader-assessed ranges as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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