Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. Mai?
24°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Vol.
$147,819 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Ja
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
24°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$147,819 Vol.
$147,819 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Ja
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the lowest air temperature on May 8, 2026, reached 24°C at the reference station in King's Park, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with early-May climatology in subtropical Hong Kong, where daily minima average 23–25°C amid high humidity (75–95%), persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. No cold surges or frontal passages disrupted the mild pattern. While data revisions are exceedingly rare—occurring less than 0.1% of the time per historical audits—an undetected sensor anomaly or dispute over station primacy could theoretically challenge it, though HKO measurements define market resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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