Current forecasts for Jinan indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 25, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where daily lows average 21–24°C but are running warmer this season. This supports the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher, as official model consensus and recent observations show no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong frontal passages or anomalous high-pressure systems. Historical August data rarely produces lows below 20°C without unusual synoptic patterns, which are absent here. The slim chances for sub-22°C outcomes would require an improbable sharp temperature drop from unforecasted atmospheric shifts, unlikely given stable steering patterns and ongoing warm advection.