**Forecast consensus for Jinan points to a minimum temperature near 18–22°C on September 23, with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting strong radiative cooling overnight.** Official and ensemble model guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models show daytime highs reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, followed by overnight lows in that range as the region experiences typical late-September transitional flow. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed market split, with 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes each near 46–47% implied probability. Historical September minima for the area average around 17–20°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-range buckets. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in synoptic steering or local moisture will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 23. September?
12°C oder niedriger 92%
22°C oder höher 89%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
12°C oder niedriger
92%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C oder höher
89%
12°C oder niedriger 92%
22°C oder höher 89%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
12°C oder niedriger
92%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C oder höher
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Jinan points to a minimum temperature near 18–22°C on September 23, with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting strong radiative cooling overnight.** Official and ensemble model guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models show daytime highs reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, followed by overnight lows in that range as the region experiences typical late-September transitional flow. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed market split, with 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes each near 46–47% implied probability. Historical September minima for the area average around 17–20°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-range buckets. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in synoptic steering or local moisture will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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