Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 14–18°C for London on September 7, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 18°C at 47.5% implied probability followed by 17°C and 19°C, aligns with the warmer end of guidance from sources like WeatherBug and global models showing overnight lows near 16–18°C amid above-average conditions. Key variables include wind speeds of 8–13 mph and limited clear-sky periods that could allow further cooling if skies clear overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 6 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 7. September?
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 21%
16°C 8%
13°C oder weniger
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C
21%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
1%
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 21%
16°C 8%
13°C oder weniger
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C
21%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 14–18°C for London on September 7, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 18°C at 47.5% implied probability followed by 17°C and 19°C, aligns with the warmer end of guidance from sources like WeatherBug and global models showing overnight lows near 16–18°C amid above-average conditions. Key variables include wind speeds of 8–13 mph and limited clear-sky periods that could allow further cooling if skies clear overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 6 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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