**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a high in the low 90s for Houston on September 5, supporting the market's leading 40% implied probability on 90-91°F.** Afternoon thunderstorms, with a 50-60% chance per current guidance, are expected to develop and could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, consistent with the humid subtropical pattern where dew points remain in the mid-70s. This aligns with September climatology, where the average daily high near 91°F often sees afternoon convection cap extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any delay in storm initiation or stronger steering flow could push readings toward the 92-93°F bin (currently at 11%). Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief spikes into the mid-90s, with updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 5. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 5. September?
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
30-31°C 20%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
19%
30-31°C
20%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100°F oder höher
7%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
30-31°C 20%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
30-31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$67 Vol.
25%
90-91°F
$11 Vol.
40%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a high in the low 90s for Houston on September 5, supporting the market's leading 40% implied probability on 90-91°F.** Afternoon thunderstorms, with a 50-60% chance per current guidance, are expected to develop and could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, consistent with the humid subtropical pattern where dew points remain in the mid-70s. This aligns with September climatology, where the average daily high near 91°F often sees afternoon convection cap extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any delay in storm initiation or stronger steering flow could push readings toward the 92-93°F bin (currently at 11%). Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief spikes into the mid-90s, with updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$81Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a high in the low 90s for Houston on September 5, supporting the market's leading 40% implied probability on 90-91°F.** Afternoon thunderstorms, with a 50-60% chance per current guidance, are expected to develop and could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, consistent with the humid subtropical pattern where dew points remain in the mid-70s. This aligns with September climatology, where the average daily high near 91°F often sees afternoon convection cap extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any delay in storm initiation or stronger steering flow could push readings toward the 92-93°F bin (currently at 11%). Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief spikes into the mid-90s, with updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$81Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a high in the low 90s for Houston on September 5, supporting the market's leading 40% implied probability on 90-91°F.** Afternoon thunderstorms, with a 50-60% chance per current guidance, are expected to develop and could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, consistent with the humid subtropical pattern where dew points remain in the mid-70s. This aligns with September climatology, where the average daily high near 91°F often sees afternoon convection cap extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any delay in storm initiation or stronger steering flow could push readings toward the 92-93°F bin (currently at 11%). Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief spikes into the mid-90s, with updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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