Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 5. September?
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
25°C oder weniger
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
26%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35°C oder höher
18%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
25°C oder weniger
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
26%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35°C oder höher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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