**Trader consensus centers on a 66-67°F low at LAX on September 23, 2026 (37% implied probability), with several adjacent bins (58-65°F and 68-69°F) each at 21.5%.** Official National Weather Service (NWS) and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s under a stable marine layer with light winds and patchy fog or low clouds. Early-morning observations at KLAX hovered near 65-69°F, consistent with forecasts showing the daily minimum occurring before sunrise before daytime heating pushes readings into the low-to-mid 80s. September coastal climatology for Los Angeles typically features lows in the mid-60s moderated by the Pacific marine layer and onshore flow; recent model runs show no strong offshore winds or troughing that would allow sharper cooling. Higher bins carry negligible probability because sustained clear, dry conditions capable of pushing the minimum above 70°F are not supported, while colder outcomes below 60°F would require atypical radiational cooling or stronger northerly flow absent from current analyses. Upcoming NWS updates and any shifts in marine-layer depth or wind patterns remain the primary near-term variables that could refine the exact bin within the upper-60s range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 23. September?
66-67°F 38%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 38%
57°F oder weniger 13%
57°F oder weniger
13%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71 °F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F oder höher
<1%
66-67°F 38%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 38%
57°F oder weniger 13%
57°F oder weniger
13%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71 °F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 66-67°F low at LAX on September 23, 2026 (37% implied probability), with several adjacent bins (58-65°F and 68-69°F) each at 21.5%.** Official National Weather Service (NWS) and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s under a stable marine layer with light winds and patchy fog or low clouds. Early-morning observations at KLAX hovered near 65-69°F, consistent with forecasts showing the daily minimum occurring before sunrise before daytime heating pushes readings into the low-to-mid 80s. September coastal climatology for Los Angeles typically features lows in the mid-60s moderated by the Pacific marine layer and onshore flow; recent model runs show no strong offshore winds or troughing that would allow sharper cooling. Higher bins carry negligible probability because sustained clear, dry conditions capable of pushing the minimum above 70°F are not supported, while colder outcomes below 60°F would require atypical radiational cooling or stronger northerly flow absent from current analyses. Upcoming NWS updates and any shifts in marine-layer depth or wind patterns remain the primary near-term variables that could refine the exact bin within the upper-60s range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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