**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and other models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 21, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points around 24–26°C and humidity above 70% limit how far temperatures can drop, while the post-monsoon transition keeps daytime heating elevated but allows clearer nights than peak monsoon conditions. Historical September minima average near 26°C, providing context for the narrow spread traders are pricing. Small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or moisture advection over the next 48 hours could nudge the low by 1–2°C in either direction, explaining the closely matched implied probabilities across the 23–31°C range. Updated IMD briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. September?
22°C oder weniger 100%
32°C oder höher 100%
23°C 98%
24°C 98%
22°C oder weniger
100%
23°C
98%
24°C
98%
25°C
98%
26°C
98%
27°C
98%
28°C
98%
29°C
98%
30°C
98%
31°C
98%
32°C oder höher
100%
22°C oder weniger 100%
32°C oder höher 100%
23°C 98%
24°C 98%
22°C oder weniger
100%
23°C
98%
24°C
98%
25°C
98%
26°C
98%
27°C
98%
28°C
98%
29°C
98%
30°C
98%
31°C
98%
32°C oder höher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the India Meteorological Department and other models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 21, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points around 24–26°C and humidity above 70% limit how far temperatures can drop, while the post-monsoon transition keeps daytime heating elevated but allows clearer nights than peak monsoon conditions. Historical September minima average near 26°C, providing context for the narrow spread traders are pricing. Small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or moisture advection over the next 48 hours could nudge the low by 1–2°C in either direction, explaining the closely matched implied probabilities across the 23–31°C range. Updated IMD briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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