Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms over Manila through September 24, supporting typical overnight lows near 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. This aligns with climatological September baselines for the region, where cloud cover and rainfall limit radiative cooling at night while preventing significant daytime spikes. Model consensus remains tight on these values with minimal spread, though minor shifts in steering patterns or convective timing could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Traders appear balanced between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher brackets due to inherent forecast uncertainty this close to the date, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by PAGASA.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 24. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 24. September?
31°C oder höher 90%
21°C oder niedriger 86%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
86%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
90%
31°C oder höher 90%
21°C oder niedriger 86%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
86%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms over Manila through September 24, supporting typical overnight lows near 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. This aligns with climatological September baselines for the region, where cloud cover and rainfall limit radiative cooling at night while preventing significant daytime spikes. Model consensus remains tight on these values with minimal spread, though minor shifts in steering patterns or convective timing could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Traders appear balanced between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher brackets due to inherent forecast uncertainty this close to the date, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms over Manila through September 24, supporting typical overnight lows near 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. This aligns with climatological September baselines for the region, where cloud cover and rainfall limit radiative cooling at night while preventing significant daytime spikes. Model consensus remains tight on these values with minimal spread, though minor shifts in steering patterns or convective timing could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Traders appear balanced between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher brackets due to inherent forecast uncertainty this close to the date, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms over Manila through September 24, supporting typical overnight lows near 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. This aligns with climatological September baselines for the region, where cloud cover and rainfall limit radiative cooling at night while preventing significant daytime spikes. Model consensus remains tight on these values with minimal spread, though minor shifts in steering patterns or convective timing could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Traders appear balanced between the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher brackets due to inherent forecast uncertainty this close to the date, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by PAGASA.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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