Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 26. August?
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
65%
15°C
30%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
30%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
65%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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